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Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives faces setbacks in 2 key by-elections

The outcomes amount to a complete rejection of Rishi Sunak's Conservative Party, whose poll numbers have plummeted in the months following Boris Johnson's resignation.

London, 21 July, 2023 (GNP): The British Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak, experienced a significant political setback as voters rejected his party in two parliamentary by-elections that they would typically have expected to win.

The resurgent Labour Party secured victories in Selby and Ainsty, in the north of England, and the Liberal Democrats claimed the seat in Somerton and Frome, a well-off area in southwest England.

The Conservative Party managed to retain the Uxbridge and South Ruislip constituency, once held by former Prime Minister Boris Johnson, but Labour made substantial gains in the area.

The election results indicate growing discontent with the current government, and they suggest a potential electoral defeat for Sunak’s administration in the upcoming general election, expected next year.

Sunak remains optimistic about his party’s chances, pointing to the Uxbridge victory as a signal that the next general election is not a foregone conclusion. However, the recent by-elections served as a challenging mid-term test for Sunak, who has faced difficulties in reversing the party’s declining popularity over the past nine months.

Scandals, an economic slowdown, and a decline in public services have contributed to the Conservative Party’s waning support. Labour’s success in regions like Selby, known as key battlegrounds, indicates their efforts to target areas that are necessary to achieve a parliamentary majority in the next election.

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Adding to the Conservatives’ woes, the Liberal Democrats’ decisive victory in Somerton and Frome demonstrates their growing appeal in areas that traditionally opposed Brexit, known as the “Blue Wall.”

The swing against the Conservatives in all three by-elections suggests a potential resurgence of the Labour Party in a future national vote.

As a general election must take place by January 2025, most observers anticipate Sunak calling for it in the fall of 2024, if not earlier, to avoid holding it in the winter months.

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