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From Memorandum to Renewed Conflict: The Israel-Iran War and the Failure of Lasting Diplomacy

From Memorandum to Renewed Conflict: The Israel-Iran War and the Failure of Lasting Diplomacy

War always leads to devastation, the loss of human lives, economic disruptions, and chaos. After the devastating outcomes of conflicts, nations persist in waging wars and issuing military, political, and economic threats. This raises a question: what motivates states to engage in conflicts, considering the devastating costs of such operations? From a conceptual point of view, rationality can be found in realism, which asserts that international affairs involve the contest for power, security, and national interests. Another theoretical lens, liberalism, prioritizes collaboration, diplomacy, and international organizations for conflict resolution. Yet even in the 21st century, with the existence of diverse international organizations and institutions, state actions are driven by the struggle for power.

Iran then established their groups,  both political and military, across Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, and Yemen that opposed Israel’s occupation of Palestinian lands. As time progressed, escalation continued and created tensions between the two states. A main reason for this growing conflict has been Iran’s controversial nuclear program; Israel has adamantly proclaimed its stance that it will never allow the country to obtain nuclear weapons, and then Iran stance is that its program is purely for peaceful and civilian purposes. That difference eventually became a centerpiece in their intensifying rivalry.

Additionally, the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the initial wave of strikes provoked outraged feelings among citizens of  Iran, and a strong desire for retribution rose among the masses. Consequently, Iran retaliated with its own wide-ranging drone strikes on civilian locations throughout the region and conducted military strikes against US targets, such as diplomatic facilities and bases, located throughout Saudi Arabia, UAE, Oman, Kuwait, Bahrain, Jordan, Iraq, and Qatar.

The Iranian officials against strategically located assets in waterways around the globe did not spare strategic infrastructure either. Tens of thousands of individuals died or were injured, property was razed, and millions fled their homes. The Middle East’s economies slumped and political instability reached a high point during the 26th operation in Iran, Iraq, and the West.

The crisis came to a boil with Iran’s March 11-13 closing off of the Strait of Hormuz, a strategically crucial point for about 20% of oil exports in the world, the blockade created huge consequences as fuel prices sky rocketed and trades between countries was completely disrupted, leading to global economical issues that particularly impacted Asian countries negatively.

It is worthy to note that while the ceasefire was set to expire two weeks from April 7, President Trump unilaterally decided to extend it, while asking the Iranian parliamentarians to present their own “comprehensive, complete, detailed offer in consultation with their government”. No timeframe was given when to extend this offer then ran ultimately refused an American proposal, as both parties continue their strikes and conflict with one another, after weeks with the proposals rejected .

From a realism viewpoint, The “international system is anarchic” and that a country’s (state’s) is always “struggle for survival”. The realist theory describes states being driven by self-interest, power gains, strategic advantage and protection from internal conflicts which ultimately shape the politics of foreign countries around the world because, according to some realist theories, countries should thus defend themselves by increasing defense capability and pursuit of strategic strength if they feel their security threatened.

Major powers could be looking to destabilize regions to gain influence and divert global focus toward them and from other current political and social issues that affecting major powers. In any conflict, both sides’ powers can also take credit for their efforts and initiatives to promote peace and de- escalation for domestic or political motivations.

This conflict led to massive human and economic costs. Such human losses will cause a significant destructive lost. The destruction to infrastructure will have economic impacts for many decades to come. The number of internally displaced people will cause long- term economic issues. At the same time, if economic growth will take a backseat, no economy can recover from this event. No investment will flow to such kind of places. However, diplomatic discussions proceed to build trust. As the war had to concluded, the threat level seems reduced and both have stepped back to build better relations and future talks could possibly pave the way for a more strategic partnership between the two countries.” The conflict has definitely move from tension and de- escalation to building trust; but will trust be long lasting? Many questions remain unanswered.

Also Read: Is Spain Facing Retaliation for Challenging Israel?

And there is still room of tensions between many involved actors, regardless of the talks made for stability. War continues to affect entire regions, through economic distress, social unrest and human agony. After a signed memorandum, within a week the memorandum has become an excuse to violation, violation of memorandum happen; Iran blocked the strait of Hormuz; strikes were made by missiles and more on US bases, the US continue airstrikes to Iran, military and strategic positions. Violation of ceasefire, again happen and diplomacy failed again to achieve lasting peace in regions reflected by breaking of a memorandum. Both parties fail to trust on one other The current scenario illustrates a limitation of the diplomatic method.

Nations seek peace and yet both the involved countries accused each other on violating terms and set new conditions for negotiations. Moreover, the conflict is affecting the trade and balance of power in the world and it showed to us that lasting peace can’t be bought by Memorandum nor any peace document, if one has mistrust to another it present the chaos. The Iran and US dispute today is not about their militaries, this clash reflects the failed diplomacies and disturbed order of global peace.

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